According to Gartner analysts, companies will revisit their IT spending if economic and political uncertainties diminish.
Global IT investments will total $ 3.9 trillion in 2020, an increase of 3.4% over 2019, according to Gartner's latest estimate. Global IT investments are forecast to exceed the $ 4 trillion barrier next year.
The software will be the main rising market this year, achieving double-digit growth, up 10.5%. "Almost all market segments with enterprise software are being guided by the adoption of Software as a Service (SaaS) offerings," says Lovelock. "We wait until investments in non-Cloud software continue to grow, even if at a slower pace. SaaS is receiving more of the new investments, although the licensed software is still purchased and its use expanded until 2023 ”.
The growth of corporate IT investments for Cloud-based offerings will be faster than the growth of traditional IT (non-Cloud) offerings by 2022. Organizations with a high percentage of IT investments dedicated to Cloud adoption indicate where business models Next-generation disruptive devices are expected to emerge.
"In the last quarter, we introduced the 'e' dilemma, in which companies are challenged to cut costs 'and' invest in growth simultaneously. The maturity of cloud environments is an example of how this dilemma is mitigated: organizations can expect a greater return on your investments in Cloud through cost savings, greater agility and innovation and better security. This investment trend will not disappear anytime soon ".
There was an impediment to worldwide IT investments in data center devices and equipment in countries affected by the rise in the US dollar. “For example, mobile phone investments in Japan will decline this year due to local average selling prices rising as a result of the dollar's rise. UK investments in PCs, printers, servers and even external storage systems are also expected to decline by 3%, ”predicts Lovelock.
Table: Worldwide forecast of IT investments (in billions of dollars)
IT investments in Western Europe between 2020 and 2021 will reflect those in the United States after the recession that ended in 2009. “2019 was a challenging year for IT investments in Western Europe and full of business uncertainties, similar to the 2009 recession. in the United States, ”says the analyst. "In 2020, business confidence will not fully return, nor will the growth of the IT budget, however, there will be an expectation that IT will drive business." As a result, departments in the area will postpone expensive projects, striving to cut costs wherever possible and showing more confidence in “as a service” offerings. The software as a service (SaaS), platform as a service (PaaS) and infrastructure as a service (IaaS) sectors will show growth in IT investments of over 10% in 2020 and 2021, while investments in the PC, server and storage sectors will decline.
Although the last quarter shows a steeper decline in the device market across all segments, global IT investments will return to general growth in 2020 due to the adoption of new, cheaper phone options from emerging countries. "The increase of almost US $ 10 billion in investments in devices in China and emerging countries in the Asian Pacific is more than enough to offset the expected declines in Western Europe and Latin America," says the analyst.
A more detailed analysis of the prospects for the IT sector is available in the webinar "Forecasting IT investments, 4Q19 update: emerging technologies in 2020".
Gartner's IT investment forecasting methodology is based on a rigorous analysis of sales by thousands of suppliers of IT products and services. Gartner uses primary research techniques, complemented by secondary sources, to create a comprehensive database with information about the size of the markets and on which its predictions are based.
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